Scenario Analysis Series are published quarterly by Dcode EFC, to assist Clients in anticipating the different paths the Egyptian economy may take as a result of foreseen shocks. Done through economic modeling, such a tool allow organizations to take early decisions that corresponds to the different alternatives the economy will take in the future due to particular economic/political events. Reports include also the different scenario analysis to possible government policy response options which can be adopted instantly as well as over the medium term.
Current developments in the Egypt, and the fast pace of the political, economical, and social change requires different set of tools in order to accommodate for the various effects these changes might have over business operating in the market or wish to enter it. An analysis using various economic scenarios is necessary to get a good insight on risk and opportunities. Dcode EFC’s economic model simulation takes into account a multitude of different variables, such as exchange rates, taxes, inflation, etc. The Scenario analysis is built closely with Clients and tailored according to their needs, aiming to:
- Provide a coherent analysis of what would happen if key macroeconomic variables changed or the economy faces standard macroeconomic shocks.
- The standard analysis includes assessing the risk/impact of currency devaluation, higher interest rates, higher international prices, and lower real growth rate.
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